Live macro frame

The rate environment around every deal.

Treasury curve, SOFR, CPI, inflation expectations, macro regime, and lender appetite pulled into the same deterministic underwriting frame.

Live macro | just now
Updated 0s ago
10Y Treasury
live
4.70%
CRE cap-rate anchor
1: 0.038900000000000004; 2: 0.042199999999999994; 3: 0.043899999999999995; 4: 0.047; 5: 0.0524Start: 0.038900000000000004End: 0.0524
SOFR
live
3.62%
floating-rate floor
1: 0.038900000000000004; 2: 0.0362; 3: 0.042199999999999994Start: 0.038900000000000004End: 0.042199999999999994
CPI YoY
live
3.30%
latest inflation print
1: 0.03; 2: 0.022400000000000003; 3: 0.0330386Start: 0.03End: 0.0330386
5Y Breakeven
live
2.24%
inflation expectations
1: 0.02; 2: 0.022400000000000003; 3: 0.0330386Start: 0.02End: 0.0330386
Rate Stack

Front end to long bond

+48 bps
3M
3.89%
SOFR
3.62%
2Y
4.22%
10Y
4.70%
30Y
5.24%
3M: liveSOFR: live2Y: live10Y: live30Y: live
Inflation Gap

Print versus baseline

+30 bps
CPI
3.30%
5Y breakeven
2.24%
UW baseline
3.00%
Curve Spreads

Mid-Cycle

Slope
3M to 10Y+81 bps
2Y to 10Y+48 bps
5Y to 30Y+85 bps
Live Treasury Curve
Normal curve, 2Y to 10Y spread +48 bps
Live FRED
Treasury yield curveLine chart of Treasury yields across 3 month, 2 year, 5 year, 10 year, and 30 year tenors.3.54%4.05%4.57%5.08%5.59%3M2Y5Y10Y30Y10Y4.70% yield
Macro Regime

Mid-Cycle

stable

Macro signals: yield curve flat 48 bps slope, CPI 3.30% near target. Mid-cycle regime. Standard institutional CRE pricing; cap rates stable. Strategy: neutral hold preference; underwrite to current cap rates and let rent growth drive returns.

2Y-10Y
+48 bps
Real policy
0.32%
Hold stance
neutral
CPI YoY
3.30%
Bank Lending Conditions

accommodative credit window

10 / 100
AccommodativeNeutralRestrictive

Composite lender appetite score 10/100. Accommodative regime. Banks competing for institutional CRE allocations; spreads tight, leverage available. Refi-window risk: low. Standard or favorable refi terms expected at maturity.

Real rate
0.32%
10Y level
4.70%
Curve slope
+48 bps
Refi risk
low
Provenance
Treasury curvelive | 5 live | 0 fallback
SOFRlive | 1 live | 0 fallback
CPIlive | 1 live | 0 fallback
Inflation expectationslive | 1 live | 0 fallback
Public marketsfallback | 0 live | 4 fallback

Snapshot generated just now. Auto-refreshes every 5 minutes. FRED configured: yes. Fallback values remain deterministic and keep regression anchors stable.

Reviewable by design

Live data enters at the request boundary. The underwriting engine stays synchronous and deterministic, and every data point carries source, timestamp, and freshness.

Read Phase 3 methodology